A generational opportunity hiding in the plumbing
$50 billion in recoverable payment fees — equivalent to one full year of U.S. GDP growth — sitting in corporate cost structures, requiring no additional investment to capture.
Santiago Roel Santos · February 2026
The S&P 500 collectively pays ~$100 billion per year in cross-border payment fees.[1] Roughly half — $50 billion — is directly addressable by stablecoin rails.[6] That's equivalent to one full year of U.S. real GDP growth. It represents 2–3% of S&P 500 aggregate earnings. And it requires zero additional capital investment — only infrastructure substitution.
These are large, sophisticated companies with dedicated treasury teams. If even they are paying this much, the question becomes: what is everybody else paying?
Payments are not Venmo.
For consumers, sending money feels instant and free. But behind the curtain, the global financial system still moves ~$150 trillion per year in cross-border flows through infrastructure designed in the 1970s.[1] Every payment traverses 3–6 intermediaries — correspondent banks, clearinghouses, FX desks, compliance checkpoints — each adding latency and extracting a toll.[5]
Banks need to charge these fees. Money doesn't actually move — messages about money move, and each institution in the chain must independently verify, settle, and reconcile. That's expensive. And those costs get passed through to end customers, eat into business revenue, or get translated into higher prices. It affects B2B and B2C alike.
But here's the thing: none of these fees appear as a line item on an income statement. They are buried in cost-of-goods-sold, embedded in supplier pricing, hidden in FX spreads disclosed only in 10-K footnotes. They are invisible to investors — and because they've existed for decades, treasurers and CFOs have come to accept them as a permanent cost of doing business.
Only one company has ever negotiated meaningfully lower payment fees: Costco — the third-largest U.S. retailer, with $254 billion in annual revenue and 30 years of leverage — managed to negotiate interchange down to ~0.4%.[2] Every other business pays the standard rate. If the most powerful buyer in retail needed three decades to save a few basis points, what chance does a $200M mid-market company have?
SMBs pay even more.
Large enterprises negotiate volume discounts and have dedicated treasury teams optimizing every basis point. Mid-market and small businesses — companies doing $50M–$500M in revenue — don't have that luxury. They pay 3–5% all-in on cross-border payments vs. 0.5–1.5% for Fortune 500 companies.[8][9] That's 2–4× the rate, on tighter margins, with less float to absorb the hit.
The World Economic Forum calls small and medium businesses “especially vulnerable, facing higher transaction costs and longer settlement times than large corporations.”[8] McKinsey reports that 35–50% of SMBs across North America, Europe, and Asia have already turned to fintech or non-traditional providers for cross-border payments specifically because of these costs.[9]
This is our investable universe. Inversion Capital targets payment-intensive businesses in the $50M–$500M revenue range — companies where 30–50% of revenue touches cross-border flows and where payment infrastructure savings translate directly to 200–500 basis points of margin improvement. These companies are too small to negotiate like Costco, but large enough for stablecoin rails to move the needle on EBITDA.
The pages that follow lay out the full thesis: the fee stack that makes this possible, the sectors where friction is highest, the EBITDA math that shows how infrastructure substitution creates compounding portfolio value, and the enterprise adoption signals that confirm this is happening now.
The short version: stablecoins don't negotiate fees down. They eliminate the intermediary layers that generate them. And the savings are massive.
This is a federally regulated asset class. The GENIUS Act, signed into law in July 2025, established the first comprehensive federal framework for stablecoin issuance, reserves, and oversight.[15] SpaceX, Stripe, Visa, Mastercard, and PayPal are already using stablecoins operationally.[17]
Legacy financial plumbing extracts value at every layer. On-chain rails collapse the stack.
A single cross-border payment traverses up to 5–6 intermediaries, each adding latency and cost.[5] The cumulative fee exceeds 345 basis points. Why? Because legacy money doesn't move — messages about money move, and each institution along the chain must independently verify, settle, and reconcile. Stablecoins eliminate most of these layers, but not all — FX conversion still requires exchange, even on-chain.
Why not zero? Stablecoins eliminate correspondent banking, settlement, and reconciliation almost entirely. But FX conversion — exchanging dollars to local currency — still requires exchange, even on-chain. On-chain FX spreads are compressing (30–70 bps today) but aren't zero. The 50–100 bps figure is the honest all-in cost.
Source: McKinsey Global Payments Report (2024), BIS Quarterly Review, SWIFT gpi data [1][5]. Stablecoin all-in per BVNK enterprise pricing [6].
The Costco Gap
The payment tax is corrosive — and everyone has accepted it
Apples-to-apples note: The stablecoin figure above (0.5–1%) reflects the full-stack, all-in cost to move money — including on-ramp (fiat → stablecoin), network gas fees, and off-ramp (stablecoin → fiat).[6] Bank-funded on-ramps in the US/EU cost 0–0.3%; card-based ramps in emerging markets run 3–7%.[7] The 0.5–1% figure represents a blended enterprise rate at scale. Pure on-chain transfer between wallets costs under $0.01 on high-throughput networks.
Costco spent 30 years and built the 3rd-largest U.S. retailer to negotiate interchange down to ~0.4%.[2] Stablecoins make comparable economics available to any business, on day one — without $254B in revenue as a bargaining chip. That's $2.6–3.5 trillion in annual B2B friction that has been accepted as permanent.
The data: enterprise vs. SMB, line by line
Same function, radically different pricing. Here's what the same $1,000 cross-border payment costs depending on who's sending it.
Bottom line: A $200M SMB doing 40% of revenue cross-border pays $2.4–4M per year in payment friction — roughly 200–500 basis points of margin that drops straight to EBITDA when you switch the rails. That's before treasury optimization, before FX savings, before working capital improvements.
All-in cost vs. settlement time
Every existing rail forces a trade-off between speed and cost. Every comparison below reflects the full, all-in cost to perform the same function: move $1,000 across a border and deliver local currency to the recipient.[10]
Source: World Bank RPW Q1 2024 [3], SWIFT gpi data, Wise/Remitly published rates, BVNK enterprise pricing [6], Bluechip “Ramping Bottleneck” Report (Dec 2025) [7]
Payment Rail Comparison: Settlement Time vs. Transaction Cost
Settlement time (log scale) vs. cost per $1,000 transferred. Bubble size = annual global volume processed.
Source: World Bank Remittance Prices Worldwide, SWIFT gpi data, company disclosures | Inversion Capital
Where legacy infrastructure suppresses margins
Industries with the highest transaction friction and greatest blockchain transformation potential define our investable universe. The top-right quadrant — where fees are high and on-chain addressability is strongest — is where Inversion Capital focuses.
Industry Exposure to Transaction Friction & Blockchain Transformation
Blockchain transformation potential vs. transaction & intermediary costs across key sectors
Source: Illustrative estimates based on World Bank, McKinsey Global Payments Report, industry filings | Inversion Capital
Implement once in Year 1. Savings compound every year after.
All three levers — payment rail switch, treasury optimization, and FX/hedging — are implemented in Year 1. No phasing. No 3-year roadmap. The savings are recurring because fees are charged on every transaction, every month. As volume grows, absolute savings grow with it.
Cross-border fees drop from $2.0M to $0.5M/yr on $66M volume
Instant settlement frees trapped cash; earn yield on balances
Reduced hedging costs; tighter on-chain FX spreads
Assumptions & Sensitivity: 10% annual revenue growth. Cross-border payment volume = 30% of revenue. Legacy all-in cost = 3%. Stablecoin all-in cost = 0.75%. All levers implemented in Year 1. In practice, competitive dynamics may require passing some savings to customers as lower prices — we model 100% retention here as an upper bound. At 50% retention (sharing savings with customers), cumulative EBITDA gain is ~$5.5M and enterprise value creation is ~$16M. Even at conservative retention rates, the value creation is material.
~$100B in direct cross-border fees paid by S&P 500 companies alone
Approximately 41% of S&P 500 revenue is generated internationally.[11] Every cross-border dollar pays a toll. The global cross-border payments revenue pool is $240B+ (McKinsey, 2024).[1] We estimate ~$100B is attributable to S&P 500 companies based on their share of global cross-border flows.
These fees don't appear as a line item. They're embedded in COGS, hidden in FX spreads disclosed in 10-K footnotes, and baked into supplier pricing. Most investors have never seen them itemized. Below is our bottom-up reconstruction of where the $100B sits.
Inversion Capital estimate based on McKinsey Global Payments Report (2024) [1], SEC 10-K filings, BIS Triennial Survey [5]. The global cross-border fee pool is $240B+ [1]; our $100B figure reflects the S&P 500 subset.
The drag nobody measures
Beyond explicit fees, slow money creates second-order costs that rarely appear in financial models. These are Inversion Capital estimates — we flag them as such because third-party data is sparse. But the directional logic is sound.
An estimated $7.4T flows through cross-border rails daily. With average settlement of ~5 days, roughly $101B sits in transit at any given time — capital that companies can't invest, deploy, or earn yield on.
At current T-bill rates (~3.7%), that $101B in trapped float represents ~$4.1B in foregone annual interest — earned by intermediaries, not by the businesses whose money it is.
Suppliers typically offer 2/10 net 30 terms — a 2% discount for paying within 10 days. When settlement takes 3–5 days just to clear, companies miss these windows.
When each wire costs $50–80, companies batch payments weekly or monthly, causing downstream delays, extra accounting reconciliation, and supplier friction.
Inversion Capital estimates. Trapped cash calculation: ~$7.4T in daily cross-border flows × (5 days avg. settlement ÷ 365) ≈ $101B in perpetual float. Lost interest: $101B × 3.7% T-bill rate. See Methodology for full derivation.
Fees Are Just Part of the Story
Measuring payment fees is like measuring phone bills in 1995. You'd calculate the cost per minute and miss that e-commerce, streaming, and video calls weren't possible yet. Slow money isn't just expensive. It limits what businesses can do — from offering real-time payouts to unlocking supplier discounts to enabling instant cross-border commerce.
Today vs. tomorrow
$144B annually transferred from depositors to banks
The spread between what banks pay savers (0.39% national average[12]) and the risk-free rate they could earn (~3.7% on T-bills[13]) represents a $144B annual wealth transfer from households to bank net interest margin. Stablecoins backed by T-bills give savers direct access to risk-free yield.
Math: $4.5T × (3.7% − 0.39%) = $149B. Conservatively rounded to $144B. Per household: $144B ÷ 128M US households ≈ $1,125/yr. T-bill: 3-month yield 3.59–3.68% as of Feb 6 2026 [13]. Savings rate: FDIC national average [12].
The adoption signals are already here
Federally Regulated Asset Class
The GENIUS Act established the first comprehensive federal framework for stablecoin issuance, reserves, consumer protection, and oversight — replacing the prior state-by-state patchwork. Stablecoins are now a federally regulated financial instrument with clear rules of the road. Takes effect 18 months after enactment (Jan 2027) or 120 days after final regulations.
The Largest Companies Are Already Using Them
SpaceX collects Starlink payments via stablecoins in markets with limited banking. Stripe acquired Bridge for $1.1B to build stablecoin infrastructure. Visa and Mastercard have integrated stablecoin settlement. PayPal launched its own stablecoin (PYUSD). Scale AI pays overseas contractors in stablecoins. This is not experimental — it's operational at Fortune 500 scale.
Enterprise Treasury & Payments
Treasury payments, supplier invoices, and international settlements are live now. BVNK processes $20B+ annualized in enterprise stablecoin volume. Deel, Remote, and major payroll platforms pay international contractors via stablecoin rails in 100+ countries.
Financial Services Building Now
Fireblocks reports 90% of surveyed financial institutions are actively building stablecoin capabilities. Cross-border payments is the #1 cited use case. In LatAm, 71% of respondents already use stablecoins for cross-border flows. Standard Chartered, Deutsche Bank, and JPMorgan have all announced stablecoin or tokenized deposit initiatives.
Why 50%?
Not all friction is equally addressable. Stablecoins eliminate transfer fees and intermediaries, but currency conversion still requires exchange. Here's how we break down the $100B:
Blended addressability: (45% × 30%) + (20% × 90%) + (15% × 95%) + (16% × 40%) + (4% × 25%) = 13.5% + 18.0% + 14.25% + 6.4% + 1.0% = 53.15% ≈ 50% of the $100B fee pool, yielding ~$50B in recoverable value. This is a conservative estimate — it excludes second-order effects from faster settlement, trapped-cash liberation, and supplier discount capture.
The infrastructure is repricing.
We invest in payment-intensive businesses positioned to capture that value.
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