Research · Stablecoin Infrastructure

A generational opportunity hiding in the plumbing

$50 billion in recoverable payment fees — equivalent to one full year of U.S. GDP growth — sitting in corporate cost structures, requiring no additional investment to capture.

Santiago Roel Santos  ·  February 2026

$0B
RECOVERABLE FEES
0%
S&P 500 EPS ACCRETION
0 YEAR
OF GDP GROWTH
$0
ADDITIONAL CAPEX REQUIRED
THE PUNCHLINE

The S&P 500 collectively pays ~$100 billion per year in cross-border payment fees.[1] Roughly half — $50 billion — is directly addressable by stablecoin rails.[6] That's equivalent to one full year of U.S. real GDP growth. It represents 2–3% of S&P 500 aggregate earnings. And it requires zero additional capital investment — only infrastructure substitution.

These are large, sophisticated companies with dedicated treasury teams. If even they are paying this much, the question becomes: what is everybody else paying?

BUT WAIT — HOW?

Payments are not Venmo.

For consumers, sending money feels instant and free. But behind the curtain, the global financial system still moves ~$150 trillion per year in cross-border flows through infrastructure designed in the 1970s.[1] Every payment traverses 3–6 intermediaries — correspondent banks, clearinghouses, FX desks, compliance checkpoints — each adding latency and extracting a toll.[5]

Banks need to charge these fees. Money doesn't actually move — messages about money move, and each institution in the chain must independently verify, settle, and reconcile. That's expensive. And those costs get passed through to end customers, eat into business revenue, or get translated into higher prices. It affects B2B and B2C alike.

But here's the thing: none of these fees appear as a line item on an income statement. They are buried in cost-of-goods-sold, embedded in supplier pricing, hidden in FX spreads disclosed only in 10-K footnotes. They are invisible to investors — and because they've existed for decades, treasurers and CFOs have come to accept them as a permanent cost of doing business.

Only one company has ever negotiated meaningfully lower payment fees: Costco — the third-largest U.S. retailer, with $254 billion in annual revenue and 30 years of leverage — managed to negotiate interchange down to ~0.4%.[2] Every other business pays the standard rate. If the most powerful buyer in retail needed three decades to save a few basis points, what chance does a $200M mid-market company have?

AND HERE'S WHERE IT GETS INTERESTING

SMBs pay even more.

Large enterprises negotiate volume discounts and have dedicated treasury teams optimizing every basis point. Mid-market and small businesses — companies doing $50M–$500M in revenue — don't have that luxury. They pay 3–5% all-in on cross-border payments vs. 0.5–1.5% for Fortune 500 companies.[8][9] That's 2–4× the rate, on tighter margins, with less float to absorb the hit.

The World Economic Forum calls small and medium businesses “especially vulnerable, facing higher transaction costs and longer settlement times than large corporations.”[8] McKinsey reports that 35–50% of SMBs across North America, Europe, and Asia have already turned to fintech or non-traditional providers for cross-border payments specifically because of these costs.[9]

This is our investable universe. Inversion Capital targets payment-intensive businesses in the $50M–$500M revenue range — companies where 30–50% of revenue touches cross-border flows and where payment infrastructure savings translate directly to 200–500 basis points of margin improvement. These companies are too small to negotiate like Costco, but large enough for stablecoin rails to move the needle on EBITDA.

SO HOW DO YOU INVEST IN THIS?

The pages that follow lay out the full thesis: the fee stack that makes this possible, the sectors where friction is highest, the EBITDA math that shows how infrastructure substitution creates compounding portfolio value, and the enterprise adoption signals that confirm this is happening now.

The short version: stablecoins don't negotiate fees down. They eliminate the intermediary layers that generate them. And the savings are massive.

⚖️

This is a federally regulated asset class. The GENIUS Act, signed into law in July 2025, established the first comprehensive federal framework for stablecoin issuance, reserves, and oversight.[15] SpaceX, Stripe, Visa, Mastercard, and PayPal are already using stablecoins operationally.[17]

Table of Contents
01 · The Invisible Tax

Legacy financial plumbing extracts value at every layer. On-chain rails collapse the stack.

A single cross-border payment traverses up to 5–6 intermediaries, each adding latency and cost.[5] The cumulative fee exceeds 345 basis points. Why? Because legacy money doesn't move — messages about money move, and each institution along the chain must independently verify, settle, and reconcile. Stablecoins eliminate most of these layers, but not all — FX conversion still requires exchange, even on-chain.

COST TO MOVE $10,000 CROSS-BORDER
Legacy Rails$345 total · 345 bps
Correspondent Banking · 150
FX Spread · 100
40
30
25
Stablecoin Rails (all-in incl. FX)$50–100 total · 50–100 bps
Ramp + Gas + FX · 50–100 bps
~245 bps CAPTURED BY BUSINESS

Why not zero? Stablecoins eliminate correspondent banking, settlement, and reconciliation almost entirely. But FX conversion — exchanging dollars to local currency — still requires exchange, even on-chain. On-chain FX spreads are compressing (30–70 bps today) but aren't zero. The 50–100 bps figure is the honest all-in cost.

Source: McKinsey Global Payments Report (2024), BIS Quarterly Review, SWIFT gpi data [1][5]. Stablecoin all-in per BVNK enterprise pricing [6].

02 · The Costco Gap

The Costco Gap

The payment tax is corrosive — and everyone has accepted it

$88T
ANNUAL B2B PAYMENT VOLUME[4]
Cross-border B2B (all-in)
2–3%
Domestic card interchange
2.1%
Costco (30 yrs leverage)
0.4%
Stablecoin (all-in incl. FX)
0.5–1%

Apples-to-apples note: The stablecoin figure above (0.5–1%) reflects the full-stack, all-in cost to move money — including on-ramp (fiat → stablecoin), network gas fees, and off-ramp (stablecoin → fiat).[6] Bank-funded on-ramps in the US/EU cost 0–0.3%; card-based ramps in emerging markets run 3–7%.[7] The 0.5–1% figure represents a blended enterprise rate at scale. Pure on-chain transfer between wallets costs under $0.01 on high-throughput networks.

💡

Costco spent 30 years and built the 3rd-largest U.S. retailer to negotiate interchange down to ~0.4%.[2] Stablecoins make comparable economics available to any business, on day one — without $254B in revenue as a bargaining chip. That's $2.6–3.5 trillion in annual B2B friction that has been accepted as permanent.

03 · Who Pays the Most

The data: enterprise vs. SMB, line by line

Same function, radically different pricing. Here's what the same $1,000 cross-border payment costs depending on who's sending it.

LARGE ENTERPRISE
Cross-border payment cost0.5–1.5%
FX spread (negotiated)0.1–0.3%
Wire fee (as % of avg txn)< 0.01%
Treasury teamDedicated
Payment terms leverageHigh
SMALL & MEDIUM BUSINESS
Cross-border payment cost3–5%
FX spread (retail)1–3%
Wire fee (as % of avg txn)0.5–2%
Treasury teamCFO wears the hat
Payment terms leverageNone

Bottom line: A $200M SMB doing 40% of revenue cross-border pays $2.4–4M per year in payment friction — roughly 200–500 basis points of margin that drops straight to EBITDA when you switch the rails. That's before treasury optimization, before FX savings, before working capital improvements.

04 · Payment Rails Compared

All-in cost vs. settlement time

Every existing rail forces a trade-off between speed and cost. Every comparison below reflects the full, all-in cost to perform the same function: move $1,000 across a border and deliver local currency to the recipient.[10]

RAIL
WHAT'S INCLUDED
ALL-IN COST
SPEED
SWIFT
Wire fee + correspondent fees + FX spread
$40–65
3–5 days
Wire Transfer
Transfer fee + intermediary deductions
$25–45
2–3 days
Card Networks
Interchange + assessment + FX markup
$15–35
1–2 days
Western Union
Transfer fee + FX spread + agent margin
~$30
~1 day
Wise / Remitly
Transfer fee + mid-market FX rate
$5–15
hrs–1 day
ACH (domestic)
Per-transaction fee
$1–3
2–4 days
Stablecoin
On-ramp + gas + off-ramp + FX · Federally regulated (GENIUS Act)
$5–10
<1 min

Source: World Bank RPW Q1 2024 [3], SWIFT gpi data, Wise/Remitly published rates, BVNK enterprise pricing [6], Bluechip “Ramping Bottleneck” Report (Dec 2025) [7]

Payment Rail Comparison: Settlement Time vs. Transaction Cost

Settlement time (log scale) vs. cost per $1,000 transferred. Bubble size = annual global volume processed.

$0$10$20$30$40$50$60$70<1 min1 hour1 day2–3 days3–5 daysCost per $1,000 TransferredSettlement Time →SWIFT$40–65Wire$25–45Cards$15–35Western Union~$30Wise$5–15ACH$1–3Stablecoin$5–10 · <1 min
Traditional rails
Fintech / digital
Stablecoin rails

Source: World Bank Remittance Prices Worldwide, SWIFT gpi data, company disclosures | Inversion Capital

05 · Investment Universe

Where legacy infrastructure suppresses margins

Industries with the highest transaction friction and greatest blockchain transformation potential define our investable universe. The top-right quadrant — where fees are high and on-chain addressability is strongest — is where Inversion Capital focuses.

Industry Exposure to Transaction Friction & Blockchain Transformation

Blockchain transformation potential vs. transaction & intermediary costs across key sectors

HIGH OPPORTUNITYZONE2%4%6%8%10%12%14%30%40%50%60%70%Transaction & Intermediary Costs as % of RevenueBlockchain Transformation Potential (%)Cross-BorderRemittancesTrade FinancePaymentProcessingDigital Identity& KYCSupply Chain& LogisticsInsuranceClaimsTelecom& MVNOsSecurities &Capital MarketsCommoditiesTradingGaming &Digital AssetsReal Estate& TitleAccounting& AuditIP /RoyaltiesEnergyTradingRetailBankingHealthcareRecordsAgriculture& Food SupplyGov & PublicRecordsLoyalty &RewardsAdvertising& Media

Source: Illustrative estimates based on World Bank, McKinsey Global Payments Report, industry filings | Inversion Capital

06 · The Value Creation Engine

Implement once in Year 1. Savings compound every year after.

All three levers — payment rail switch, treasury optimization, and FX/hedging — are implemented in Year 1. No phasing. No 3-year roadmap. The savings are recurring because fees are charged on every transaction, every month. As volume grows, absolute savings grow with it.

YEAR 1 IMPLEMENTATION — $200M REVENUE PORTFOLIO COMPANY
LEVER 1
Payment Rail Switch
$1.5M/yr

Cross-border fees drop from $2.0M to $0.5M/yr on $66M volume

LEVER 2
Treasury Optimization
$0.15M/yr

Instant settlement frees trapped cash; earn yield on balances

LEVER 3
FX & Hedging
$0.15M/yr

Reduced hedging costs; tighter on-chain FX spreads

Year 1 Total Savings
All levers active from day one
$1.8M
EBITDA: 12.0% → 12.8%
YEARS 2–5: VOLUME COMPOUNDS, SAVINGS GROW
YEAR
WHAT HAPPENS
REVENUE
XBORDER VOL.
ANNUAL SAVINGS
CUMULATIVE
Entry
Acquire at 12% EBITDA margin
$200M
$60M
Year 1
All 3 levers implemented
$220M
$66M
$1.8M
$1.8M
Year 2
Volume growth (10%)
$242M
$73M
$2.0M
$3.8M
Year 3
Volume growth (10%)
$266M
$80M
$2.2M
$6.0M
Year 4
Volume growth (10%)
$293M
$88M
$2.4M
$8.4M
Year 5
Volume growth (10%)
$322M
$97M
$2.6M
$11.0M
CUMULATIVE SAVINGS — SAME RATE, GROWING VOLUME
$1.8M
+$1.8M
Yr 1
$3.8M
prior
+$2M
Yr 2
$6M
prior
+$2.2M
Yr 3
$8.4M
prior
+$2.4M
Yr 4
$11M
prior
+$2.6M
Yr 5
Current year savings
Prior year savings (cumulative)
+80 bps
MARGIN UPLIFT (YEAR 1, PERMANENT)
$11.0M
CUMULATIVE EBITDA GAIN (5-YR HOLD)
$31M+
ENTERPRISE VALUE AT 12× EXIT

Assumptions & Sensitivity: 10% annual revenue growth. Cross-border payment volume = 30% of revenue. Legacy all-in cost = 3%. Stablecoin all-in cost = 0.75%. All levers implemented in Year 1. In practice, competitive dynamics may require passing some savings to customers as lower prices — we model 100% retention here as an upper bound. At 50% retention (sharing savings with customers), cumulative EBITDA gain is ~$5.5M and enterprise value creation is ~$16M. Even at conservative retention rates, the value creation is material.

07 · Quantifying the Fee Pool

~$100B in direct cross-border fees paid by S&P 500 companies alone

Approximately 41% of S&P 500 revenue is generated internationally.[11] Every cross-border dollar pays a toll. The global cross-border payments revenue pool is $240B+ (McKinsey, 2024).[1] We estimate ~$100B is attributable to S&P 500 companies based on their share of global cross-border flows.

These fees don't appear as a line item. They're embedded in COGS, hidden in FX spreads disclosed in 10-K footnotes, and baked into supplier pricing. Most investors have never seen them itemized. Below is our bottom-up reconstruction of where the $100B sits.

Currency Exchange
0.5–1% spread on conversion
$45B
Middleman Banks
$15–40 per bank in the chain
$20B
FX Hedging
Insurance against rate swings
$16B
Wire Fees
$40–80 per transfer
$15B
Compliance & Reporting
AML/KYC processing costs
$4B
Total Direct Fee Pool
$100B

Inversion Capital estimate based on McKinsey Global Payments Report (2024) [1], SEC 10-K filings, BIS Triennial Survey [5]. The global cross-border fee pool is $240B+ [1]; our $100B figure reflects the S&P 500 subset.

08 · The Indirect Drag

The drag nobody measures

Beyond explicit fees, slow money creates second-order costs that rarely appear in financial models. These are Inversion Capital estimates — we flag them as such because third-party data is sparse. But the directional logic is sound.

Trapped Cash
$101B

An estimated $7.4T flows through cross-border rails daily. With average settlement of ~5 days, roughly $101B sits in transit at any given time — capital that companies can't invest, deploy, or earn yield on.

Lost Interest
$4.1B

At current T-bill rates (~3.7%), that $101B in trapped float represents ~$4.1B in foregone annual interest — earned by intermediaries, not by the businesses whose money it is.

Missed Discounts
$22B

Suppliers typically offer 2/10 net 30 terms — a 2% discount for paying within 10 days. When settlement takes 3–5 days just to clear, companies miss these windows.

Batching Costs
$8B

When each wire costs $50–80, companies batch payments weekly or monthly, causing downstream delays, extra accounting reconciliation, and supplier friction.

Total Indirect Drag (est.)
$135B

Inversion Capital estimates. Trapped cash calculation: ~$7.4T in daily cross-border flows × (5 days avg. settlement ÷ 365) ≈ $101B in perpetual float. Lost interest: $101B × 3.7% T-bill rate. See Methodology for full derivation.

Fees Are Just Part of the Story

Measuring payment fees is like measuring phone bills in 1995. You'd calculate the cost per minute and miss that e-commerce, streaming, and video calls weren't possible yet. Slow money isn't just expensive. It limits what businesses can do — from offering real-time payouts to unlocking supplier discounts to enabling instant cross-border commerce.

The Shift

Today vs. tomorrow

TODAY
Per wire transfer (all-in)$50–80
Money passes through3–6 banks
Settlement time3–5 days
Yield on cash in transit0% (to sender)
TOMORROW
Per transfer (all-in)$5–10
Sender to receiverDirect
Settlement time<1 min
Yield until spent~3.7% (T-bill rate)
Second-Order Effect

$144B annually transferred from depositors to banks

The spread between what banks pay savers (0.39% national average[12]) and the risk-free rate they could earn (~3.7% on T-bills[13]) represents a $144B annual wealth transfer from households to bank net interest margin. Stablecoins backed by T-bills give savers direct access to risk-free yield.

$4.5T
US SAVINGS DEPOSITS
0.39%
BANKS PAY SAVERS
~3.7%
T-BILL YIELD (FEB 2026)
$144B
ANNUAL SPREAD CAPTURED
$1,125
LOST PER HOUSEHOLD / YEAR
$1,400
2021 AMERICAN RESCUE PLAN CHECK

Math: $4.5T × (3.7% − 0.39%) = $149B. Conservatively rounded to $144B. Per household: $144B ÷ 128M US households ≈ $1,125/yr. T-bill: 3-month yield 3.59–3.68% as of Feb 6 2026 [13]. Savings rate: FDIC national average [12].

09 · Adoption Signals

The adoption signals are already here

SIGNED INTO FEDERAL LAW — JULY 2025

Federally Regulated Asset Class

The GENIUS Act established the first comprehensive federal framework for stablecoin issuance, reserves, consumer protection, and oversight — replacing the prior state-by-state patchwork. Stablecoins are now a federally regulated financial instrument with clear rules of the road. Takes effect 18 months after enactment (Jan 2027) or 120 days after final regulations.

Federal Lawsigned by the President [15]
FORTUNE 500 ADOPTION

The Largest Companies Are Already Using Them

SpaceX collects Starlink payments via stablecoins in markets with limited banking. Stripe acquired Bridge for $1.1B to build stablecoin infrastructure. Visa and Mastercard have integrated stablecoin settlement. PayPal launched its own stablecoin (PYUSD). Scale AI pays overseas contractors in stablecoins. This is not experimental — it's operational at Fortune 500 scale.

$27.6Tstablecoin transfer volume in 2024 [17]
LIVE TODAY

Enterprise Treasury & Payments

Treasury payments, supplier invoices, and international settlements are live now. BVNK processes $20B+ annualized in enterprise stablecoin volume. Deel, Remote, and major payroll platforms pay international contractors via stablecoin rails in 100+ countries.

400K+US businesses with access [6]
90% OF INSTITUTIONS

Financial Services Building Now

Fireblocks reports 90% of surveyed financial institutions are actively building stablecoin capabilities. Cross-border payments is the #1 cited use case. In LatAm, 71% of respondents already use stablecoins for cross-border flows. Standard Chartered, Deutsche Bank, and JPMorgan have all announced stablecoin or tokenized deposit initiatives.

90%of institutions taking action [16]
10 · Methodology

Why 50%?

Not all friction is equally addressable. Stablecoins eliminate transfer fees and intermediaries, but currency conversion still requires exchange. Here's how we break down the $100B:

COMPONENT
% OF POOL
ADDR.
RATIONALE
FX Conversion Spread
45%
~30%
Still need exchange — but spread compresses with on-chain FX liquidity
Correspondent Banking Fees
20%
~90%
Eliminated by direct peer-to-peer settlement
Wire & Transfer Fees
15%
~95%
Near-zero on-chain (gas < $0.01 on high-throughput networks)
Hedging Costs
16%
~40%
Faster settlement (seconds vs. days) reduces FX exposure window
Compliance Processing
4%
~25%
Partial automation via on-chain identity; KYC still required

Blended addressability: (45% × 30%) + (20% × 90%) + (15% × 95%) + (16% × 40%) + (4% × 25%) = 13.5% + 18.0% + 14.25% + 6.4% + 1.0% = 53.15% ≈ 50% of the $100B fee pool, yielding ~$50B in recoverable value. This is a conservative estimate — it excludes second-order effects from faster settlement, trapped-cash liberation, and supplier discount capture.

Sources
[1] McKinsey Global Payments Report (2024). Cross-border payment revenues $240B; global flows ~$150T (2022 data). October 2024.
[2] Costco 10-K filings; WalletHub & CardFellow interchange analysis. Costco negotiated ~0.4% interchange via exclusive Visa co-brand deal. $254B revenue FY2024.
[3] World Bank, Remittance Prices Worldwide (Q1 2024). Global avg. cost of sending $200 = 6.35–6.56%. Global remittance flows $905B in 2024 (Migration & Development Brief 41).
[4] Fortune Business Insights (2024). Global B2B payments volume $87.98T. Corroborated by Juniper Research ($89T) and FitSmallBusiness ($83T est.).
[5] BIS Triennial Central Bank Survey; FSB Annual Progress Report on Cross-border Payments (Oct 2024). Correspondent banking chain typically 3–6 intermediaries.
[6] BVNK enterprise pricing & Bluechip 'Ramping Bottleneck' Report (Dec 2025). Full-stack stablecoin costs: 0.5–2% per transaction (enterprise tier 0.5–1%). Network gas fees range from <$0.01 to $5 depending on chain and congestion.
[7] Bluechip (Dec 2025). All-in ramping costs: 0–0.3% bank-funded (US/EU/UK), 3–7% card-based (emerging markets), 7–15% in parts of Africa. 50–90% cost savings vs. legacy in high-volume corridors.
[8] World Economic Forum (May 2025). 'How innovative fintech is helping small business in cross-border trade and payments.' SMBs (WEF: 'MSMEs') face higher transaction costs and longer settlement times.
[9] McKinsey (Apr 2025). 'How banks can win back lower-value cross-border payments business.' 35–50% of SMBs in NA, Europe, and Emerging Asia use non-traditional providers. P2P margins as high as 3.4%.
[10] All-in comparisons include: transfer fees, FX spread/markup, intermediary deductions, on/off-ramp costs, and gas fees. Sources: respective provider published rates, World Bank RPW, BVNK pricing.
[11] FactSet Earnings Insight & Apollo research. S&P 500 international revenue share ~41%. Alternative methodology (S&P Global, revenue-weighted) shows ~28%. We use the FactSet figure; both are defensible.
[12] FDIC National Average Savings Rate: 0.39% APY (as of Feb 2026). NerdWallet corroborates.
[13] U.S. Treasury. 3-month T-bill yield: 3.59–3.68% as of Feb 6, 2026 (Trading Economics, FRED). Fed funds rate: 3.50–3.75% after 3 cuts in late 2025.
[14] Modern Treasury / Visa Onchain Analytics. 2024 stablecoin transfer volume $27.6T (exceeded Visa + Mastercard combined). Active wallets grew 53% YoY to 30M+ (Feb 2025).
[15] GENIUS Act (Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins). Signed into law July 18, 2025. Congress.gov. Takes effect 18 months after enactment or 120 days after final regs.
[16] Fireblocks 2025 Stablecoin Report. 90% of surveyed institutions taking action on stablecoins. Cross-border payments = #1 use case. 71% of LatAm respondents use stablecoins for cross-border.
[17] Company announcements: Stripe acquired Bridge for $1.1B (Oct 2024) for stablecoin infrastructure; PayPal launched PYUSD (Aug 2023); Visa & Mastercard integrated stablecoin settlement (2024); SpaceX uses stablecoins for Starlink collections; Scale AI pays contractors in stablecoins. Standard Chartered, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan announced stablecoin/tokenized deposit initiatives (2024–2025).

The infrastructure is repricing.

We invest in payment-intensive businesses positioned to capture that value.

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